Bank of Canada Rate Cuts BEFORE Spring Market? Don't count on it: Derek Holt

Bank of Canada Rate Cuts BEFORE Spring Market? Don't count on it: Derek Holt

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Publish Date:
12 December, 2023
Category:
Mortgages
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#bankofcanada #canadianrealestate #canadianeconomy

Don’t count on the Bank of Canada cutting rates in time for the spring real estate market, this according to Derek Holt of Scotiabank, following Deputy Governor Gravelle’s speech on Thursday.

Links:

Bloomberg The Close:

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/the-close/the-close-for-friday-december-8-2023~2819276

Speech by Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle / Discours du sous-gouverneur Toni Gravelle:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MJhxdCYYEEM&t=4s

Assessing the effects of higher immigration on the Canadian economy and inflation:

https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/san2023-17.pdf

Countdown to rate cuts has begun: What economists say about Bank of Canada's hold:

https://financialpost.com/news/economy/bank-of-canada-interest-rate-hold-economists-view

Economic progress report: Immigration, housing and the outlook for inflation:

https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2023/12/economic-progress-report-immigration-housing-outlook-inflation/

Canadian Real Estate Doesn’t Have A Supply Problem. It’s A Demand Issue: BMO:

https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-real-estate-doesnt-have-a-supply-problem-its-a-demand-issue-bmo/

Supply is the only cause and solution to Canada's housing woes — it's time to be bold:

https://financialpost.com/real-estate/supply-is-the-only-cause-and-solution-to-canadas-housing-woes-its-time-to-be-bold

Will the latest interest rate hike cool off Canada's housing market? Experts aren't so sure:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/bank-of-canada-housing-market-interest-rate-hike-1.6420232

Even if BoC raises rates I don’t see it having a big impact on the housing market: Nasma Ali:

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/video/even-if-boc-raises-rates-i-don-t-see-it-having-a-big-impact-on-the-housing-market-nasma-ali~2339652

Surging mortgage interest costs are fuelling inflation and putting homeowners in the crosshairs:

https://financialpost.com/real-estate/mortgage-interest-costs-inflation-april

Bank of Canada says it is not seeing the decline in house prices it had expected:

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-bank-of-canada-says-it-is-not-seeing-the-decline-in-house-prices-it/

Canada to level out number of new permanent residents in Canada in 2026:

https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/canada-to-level-out-number-of-new-permanent-residents-in-canada-in-2026-1.6626921

Canada's inflation rate cools, opens door to interest rate cut 'as early as Q2' 2024:

https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadas-inflation-rate-cools-opens-door-interest-rate-cut-q2-2024-171903507.html

Low Real Interest Rates Support Asset Prices, But Risks Are Rising:

https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/27/blogs012822-low-real-interest-rates-support-asset-prices-but-risks-are-rising

Canada’s unemployment rate rises to 5.8% as job gains fail to offset population surge:

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-canadas-unemployment-rate-rises-to-58-as-job-gains-cant-offset/

Canada 5 Year Government Bond:

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmbmkca-05y?countrycode=bx

Plummeting bond yields could mean lower mortgage rates by spring, say industry watchers:

https://financialpost.com/real-estate/mortgages/mortgage-rates-seen-falling-bond-yields-plummet

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