Bank of Canada to Keep Interest Rates 'High for Longer': Capital Economics

Bank of Canada to Keep Interest Rates 'High for Longer': Capital Economics

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Publish Date:
22 January, 2023
Category:
Mortgages
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#BankofCanada #InterestRates #canadianeconomy

The Bank of Canada is expected to include a ‘hawkish’ signal that rates will be ‘higher for longer’ at Wednesday’s interest rate announcement, according to a new report by Capital Economics.

Given a reluctant to raise interest rates any more than it already has, the Bank is likely to engage in a new round of ‘forward guidance’ seeking to assure Canadians that rates will not be coming down any time soon.

The hope is that this will work to slow the Canadian economy without actually imposing any more borrowing costs on holders of variable rate loans.

Links:

A smaller 25 bp hike with a hawkish message:

https://www.capitaleconomics.com/publications/bank-canada-watch/smaller-25-bp-hike-hawkish-message

High for longer? Watch out for 'hawkish signal' from Bank of Canada next week: Capital Economics:

https://financialpost.com/news/economy/bank-of-canada-hawkish-signal-capital-economics

Bank of Canada plans to keep interest rate near zero until 2023:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/bank-of-canada-rate-decision-1.5779813

Bank of Canada to raise rates by 25 basis points to peak of 4.5% on Jan. 25, poll suggests:

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/economy/article-bank-of-canada-to-raise-rates-by-25-basis-points-to-peak-of-45-on-jan/

BoC expected to deliver eighth consecutive rate hike, but it's probably the last one:

https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/boc-expected-to-deliver-eighth-consecutive-rate-hike-but-it-s-probably-the-last-one-1.6238740

Bank of Canada sees interest rates on hold into 2023:

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/bank-of-canada-keeps-key-interest-rate-on-hold-1.1514208

Fed minutes: No rate cuts in 2023, inflation risk remains in focus:

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/fed-minutes-rate-cuts-2023-inflation-risk-focus-194814712.html

Fed’s No-Rate-Cut Mantra Rejected by Markets Seeing Recession:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-11/fed-s-no-rate-cut-mantra-rejected-by-markets-seeing-recession

Tiff Macklem says he'd rather raise rates too much than too little:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/tiff-macklem-speech-1.6683149

Canada 5 Year Government Bond:

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmbmkca-05y?countrycode=bx

2023 housing and interest rate forecasts:

https://www.canadianmortgagetrends.com/2022/12/2023-housing-and-interest-rate-forecasts/

TD chief economist points finger at Bank of Canada for mortgage pinch:

https://www.thestar.com/business/2023/01/13/tds-chief-economist-points-finger-at-bank-of-canada-for-mortgage-pinch.html

Monetary aggregates:

https://www.bankofcanada.ca/rates/indicators/key-variables/monetary-aggregates/

Canada Unemployment Rate:

https://ycharts.com/indicators/canada_unemployment_rate

Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Second Quarter of 2022:

https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/07/canadian-survey-of-consumer-expectations-second-quarter-of-2022/

Big Six banks' mortgage books 'on fire' as housing heats up:

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/big-six-banks-mortgage-books-on-fire-as-housing-heats-up-1.1569446

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