#Canadianmortgagerates #BankofCanada #CanadianRealEstate
Canada’s fixed mortgage rates plunged downward in December and January, with rates now back close to where they were in June of 2023 – leading some to argue its time to jump into the real estate market. However, bond yields are on the rise, up 30bps since the beginning of January, as a growing pile of US debt puts pressure on the markets.
Links:
Big banks slash mortgage rates this week to reflect lower bond yields in Canada:
https://www.canadianmortgagetrends.com/2024/01/big-banks-lower-mortgage-rates-this-week-to-reflect-bond-yield-decline-in-canada/
Canada 5 Year Government Bond:
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmbmkca-05y?countrycode=bx
Fixed mortgage rates are on the decline. Is now the time to lock in?:
https://globalnews.ca/news/10219789/fixed-mortgage-rates-canada-january-2024/
Posthaste: Bank of Canada signals interest rate relief is coming, but brace for a wait:
https://financialpost.com/news/bank-of-canada-signals-interest-rate-relief-but-be-prepared-to-wait
Interest rates may have peaked – is it time to jump into the housing market?:
https://globalnews.ca/news/10251001/interest-rate-hold-spring-housing-market/
US 30-Year Yield Reaches Year-to-Date High After Poor Auction:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-24/us-30-year-yield-reaches-year-to-date-high-after-poor-auction
Bank of Canada's balance sheet plans under pressure as funding markets show strain:
https://financialpost.com/news/economy/bank-of-canada-quantitative-tightening-plans
Bank of Canada conducts Overnight Repo operation:
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/01/bank-of-canada-conducts-overnight-repo-operation/
Home prices to end year 8.5% higher, despite Bank of Canada rate hikes: Royal LePage:
https://financialpost.com/real-estate/home-prices-end-year-higher-bank-of-canada-rate-hikes
CREA Data: Canadian Home Sales See Unexpected Surge to Close Out 2023:
https://creastats.crea.ca/en-CA/
‘HELP! MUST SELL IN 30 DAYS!’ Mortgage brokers report an uptick in forced sales of GTA homes:
https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/help-must-sell-in-30-days-mortgage-brokers-report-an-uptick-in-forced-sales-of/article_44ed8a38-a29c-5ac7-8b93-28a9056d5e20.html
With the deficit hitting $1.39 trillion, a ‘sobering’ 170% increase, traders are bracing for a $102 billion auction of Treasury bonds:
https://fortune.com/2023/07/31/how-big-federal-debt-deficit-treasury-bonds-auction-markets/
Oversupply of US debt leaves few takers for Treasuries:
https://www.ft.com/content/7dada684-a6cd-413b-9adb-477b34a7a9f6
US Slows Pace of Increase in Quarterly Long-Term Debt Sales:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-01/us-slows-pace-of-increase-in-quarterly-sales-of-long-term-debt
5-Year Treasury Auction Was a Dud:
https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-012424/card/5-year-treasury-auction-was-a-dud-1rWRMyzjDEWCi4Hej5ha
Bank of Canada holds key interest rate at 5%, signals shift toward rate cut talks:
https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/bank-canada-announce-interest-rate-090000105.html
Bond Market Braces for Record Auction Sizes for Some Treasuries:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-26/bond-market-braces-for-record-auction-sizes-for-some-treasuries
Key Federal Reserve Lending Facility to Steer Market's Treasury Bill Appetite:
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/key-federal-reserve-lending-facility-to-steer-market-s-treasury-bill-appetite-1.1990510
Fed Should Stop Quantitative Tightening, Reduce Interest Rates Soon, Bill Gross Says:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-22/bill-gross-says-fed-should-stop-qt-reduce-interest-rates-soon
Bank of Canada signals rates might have peaked. What comes next?:
https://globalnews.ca/news/10246847/bank-of-canada-rate-decision-jan-2024/
Bank of Canada keeps key rate at 5%, says talks have shifted away from more hikes:
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/economy/interest-rates/article-bank-of-canada-interest-rate-announcement-january/
Mark Mitchell – Mortgage Broker London Ontario
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